How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1 (74.0%), At least 2 (28.0%), At least 3 (11.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Sat, 21 Apr 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| At least 2 | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| At least 3 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 4 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $15K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1:
If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. An impeachment is the House of Representatives adopting a resolution that impeaches Donald Trump, however many articles of impeachment it contains. Each such resolution counts once. Does NOT count: A resolution that is tabled, referred to committee, or otherwise not adopted An article of impeachment that is introduced or approved by a committee but not adopted by the House Donald Trump must be in office as President when the resolution is adopted.
Sources
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