How many lead service lines will Michigan replace this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 25,000 (92.0%), Above 27,500 (81.0%), Above 30,000 (57.0%). The market has $35K in volume and closes on Wed, 29 Sep 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 25,000 | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above 27,500 | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 30,000 | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| Above 32,500 | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Above 35,000 | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Above 37,500 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Above 40,000 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Above 42,500 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 45,000 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 50,000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 47,500 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $35K
- Liquidity: $35K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 25,000:
If the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule is above 25,000 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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