How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:49:36 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 6 (99.0%), Above 7 (99.0%), Above 8 (99.0%). The market has $283K in volume and closes on Sat, 07 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 6 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 7 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 8 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 9 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 10 | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Above 11 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Above 12 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 13 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 14 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 15 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 16 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $283K
- Liquidity: $283K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 6:
If SpaceX has more than 6 launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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