SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
As of Mon, 28 Sep 2026 06:32:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Oct 16, 2026 (94.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (83.0%), Before Sep 30, 2026 (80.0%). The market has $266K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Before Sep 30, 2026 | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Before Sep 29, 2026 | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $266K
- Liquidity: $266K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Oct 16, 2026:
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 14 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Sources
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