How many launches will SpaceX have in September?

As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 06:24:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7 (99.0%), Above 12 (1.0%), Above 9 (1.0%). The market has $888K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 799.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 121.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 91.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 111.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 131.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 151.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 161.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 171.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 181.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 81.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 101.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 141.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7:

If SpaceX has more than 7 launches in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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