How many launches will SpaceX have in November?
As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 03:30:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 6 (97.0%), Above 7 (87.0%), Above 8 (71.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Mon, 07 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 6 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 7 | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Above 8 | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Above 9 | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above 10 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Above 11 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 12 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 15 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 16 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 14 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 13 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $16K
- Liquidity: $16K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 6:
If SpaceX has more than 6 launches in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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