SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:29:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Dec 11, 2026 (92.0%), Before Nov 27, 2026 (76.0%), Before Nov 13, 2026 (15.0%). The market has $105K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 11, 2026 | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Before Nov 27, 2026 | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Before Oct 30, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $105K
- Liquidity: $105K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Dec 11, 2026:
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Dec 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Sources
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