How many companies will go bankrupt this year?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 600 (97.0%), Above 550 (96.0%), Above 650 (95.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Sun, 10 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 600 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 550 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 650 | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 750 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Above 800 | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Above 850 | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Above 900 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Above 950 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Above 1,000 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Above 1,050 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 1,100 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 1,150 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 1,200 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 600:
If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 600, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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