How many days will U.S. cattle imports from Sonora be suspended?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:56:44 UTC, Kalshi traders price 30 days or more (12.0%), 60 days or more (10.0%), 90 days or more (9.0%). The market has $100K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days or more | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 60 days or more | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 90 days or more | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 120 days or more | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $100K
- Liquidity: $100K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 30 days or more:
If United States imports of live cattle from Sonora, Mexico, are suspended for a cumulative total of at least 30 calendar days between November 6, 2026 and March 31, 2027, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes. Only suspensions publicly announced by a U.S. federal authority and covering all live cattle from Sonora at every authorized U.S. port count. Days are cumulative, include weekends and holidays, and need not be consecutive.
Sources
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