How long will the next FISA authorization be this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 90 days (55.0%), At least 30 days (54.0%), At least 1 year (45.0%). The market has $31K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 90 days | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| At least 30 days | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| At least 1 year | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| At least 2 years | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| At least 5 years | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $31K
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 90 days:
If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The period by which a reauthorization “extends the authority” is measured from the date the legislation becomes law to the new expiration date it sets for Section 702 authority.
Sources
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