How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 7 days (96.0%), At least 14 days (90.0%), At least 30 days (85.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sat, 21 Apr 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 7 days | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 14 days | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 30 days | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| At least 60 days | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| At least 100 days | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 180 days | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| At least 365 days | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| At least 730 days | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 7 days:
If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 7 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes. The next Press Secretary is the first person, after Issuance, to formally hold the position of White House Press Secretary, as formally designated by the White House. Acting and interim Press Secretaries do not count, and time served in an acting or interim capacity is not counted. The count starts on the first day they serve as White House Press Secretary in a non-acting capacity. That can be the day they are named, if they take up the role that day, but never earlier. If no first day is reported, it is the earlier of their first White House briefing as Press Secretary and the first day the White House publicly identifies them as Press Secretary. The count ends on whichever of these comes first: The day they leave the role for any reason, including resignation, removal or moving to another role in which they no longer hold the title of White House Press Secretary The day the President, the White House or the Press Secretary says publicly that they are leaving or have been removed, including by naming someone else to replace them, or a Source Agency first reports this citing a White House or administration official A statement that they may leave, should reconsider or are under review does not end the count. A Press Secretary still serving when Trump's term ends on Jan 20, 2029 leaves the ro…
Sources
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