How high will Brazil inflation get this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 4.75% (86.0%), Above 5.00% (52.0%), Above 5.25% (13.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 4.75%86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Above 5.00%52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Above 5.25%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above 6.25%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 6.00%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 5.75%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 5.50%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above 6.50%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 7.00%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 6.75%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 4.75%:

If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 4.75% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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