Government spending increase this year
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least $1 billion (97.0%), At least $50 billion (97.0%), At least $200 billion (97.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least $1 billion | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least $50 billion | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least $200 billion | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least $100 billion | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least $300 billion | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least $400 billion | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| At least $500 billion | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| At least $750 billion | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| At least $1 trillion | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least $1 billion:
If government spending increases by at least $1 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Each quarter during Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 is compared against the Q4 2025 baseline.
Sources
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