FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 09:12:27 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (0.7%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.7% | 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain. The co-pilot was taken into custody in Saudi Arabia (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/diverted-flydubai-flight-israel-was-not-hijacking-incident-israeli-prime-2026-09-30/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the referenced co-pilot is transported to Israeli custody within the territory of Israel between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The co-pilot must actually enter Israeli territory for this market to resolve to “Yes.” Announcements or statements of intent will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia and Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
- Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.