Fed rate cut before 2027?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (4.0%). The market has $1.5M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.5M
- Liquidity: $1.5M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close and determine on the first 10 AM ET following the occurrence of the event if the event occurs prior to the target date.
Sources
Related markets
- Fed decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
- Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
- Fed funds rate after October meeting?
- Number of rate hikes this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.