Fed rate cut by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:20:13 UTC, Polymarket traders price July 2027 Meeting (50.0%), June 2027 Meeting (31.0%), April 2027 Meeting (28.5%). The market has $236K in volume and closes on Sun, 08 Aug 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 2027 Meeting | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| June 2027 Meeting | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| April 2027 Meeting | 28.5% | 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ |
| March 2027 Meeting | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
| January 2027 Meeting | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| December 2026 Meeting | 2.6% | 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ |
| October 2026 Meeting | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $236K
- Liquidity: $201K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for July 2027 Meeting:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2027, currently scheduled for July 27 to 28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
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