Next Fed rate hike?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:04:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2029 (97.0%), Before July 2028 (96.0%), Before 2028 (94.0%). The market has $128K in volume and closes on Sun, 31 Dec 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before 202997.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Before July 202896.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Before 202894.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Before July 202793.0%93.0¢7.0¢
Before 202782.0%82.0¢18.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2029:

If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

Related markets

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