SOFR at end of Q4 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.50% (97.0%), Above 3.00% (97.0%), Above 3.25% (97.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Tue, 05 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.50% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 3.00% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 3.25% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 3.75% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above 4.00% | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 4.25% | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Above 4.50% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above 4.75% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $20K
- Liquidity: $20K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.50%:
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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