Fed funds rate after October meeting?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:19:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.25% (99.0%), Above 3.00% (99.0%), Above 3.50% (99.0%). The market has $399K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.25% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 3.00% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 3.50% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 3.75% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 2.75% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 4.00% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Above 4.25% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.75% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.50% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 5.00% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 5.25% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $399K
- Liquidity: $399K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.25%:
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Oct 28, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
Sources
Related markets
- Fed decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
- Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
- Number of rate hikes this year?
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