Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 10:37:42 UTC, Polymarket traders price 300-319 (14.0%), 260-279 (13.0%), 280-299 (13.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Fri, 06 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
300-31914.0%14.0¢86.0¢
260-27913.0%13.0¢87.0¢
280-29913.0%13.0¢87.0¢
320-33913.0%13.0¢87.0¢
220-23911.0%11.0¢89.0¢
500-51910.4%10.4¢89.5¢
480-4999.0%9.0¢91.0¢
240-2598.0%8.0¢92.0¢
140-1596.5%6.5¢93.5¢
360-3796.5%6.5¢93.5¢
340-3596.5%6.5¢93.5¢
200-2196.0%6.0¢94.0¢
120-1395.0%5.0¢95.0¢
180-1994.9%4.9¢95.1¢
160-1794.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Sources

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