Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 08:47:04 UTC, Polymarket traders price 280-299 (13.5%), 300-319 (13.5%), 260-279 (13.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Fri, 06 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
280-29913.5%13.5¢86.5¢
300-31913.5%13.5¢86.5¢
260-27913.0%13.0¢87.0¢
320-33913.0%13.0¢87.0¢
240-25910.0%10.0¢90.0¢
500-5199.5%9.5¢90.5¢
200-2197.5%7.5¢92.5¢
480-4997.5%7.5¢92.5¢
220-2397.0%7.0¢93.0¢
360-3797.0%7.0¢93.0¢
340-3596.5%6.5¢93.5¢
440-4596.0%6.0¢94.0¢
120-1395.5%5.5¢94.5¢
160-1795.5%5.5¢94.5¢
100-1195.5%5.5¢94.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.