Colombian presidential runoff: margin of victory
As of Tue, 07 Jul 2026 14:15:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Abelardo de la Espriella, 0-3% (99.0%), Iván Cepeda, 3-6% (3.0%), Abelardo de la Espriella, 9-12% (2.0%). The market has $164K in volume and closes on Mon, 21 Jun 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abelardo de la Espriella, 0-3% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Iván Cepeda, 3-6% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Abelardo de la Espriella, 9-12% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Abelardo de la Espriella, 12-15% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Abelardo de la Espriella, 3-6% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Abelardo de la Espriella, ≥15% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Abelardo de la Espriella, 6-9% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Iván Cepeda, 0-3% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Iván Cepeda, 9-12% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Iván Cepeda, 12-15% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Iván Cepeda, ≥15% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Iván Cepeda, 6-9% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $164K
- Liquidity: $164K
- Closes:
Sources
Related markets
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
- Next French presidential election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.