Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)
As of Mon, 05 Oct 2026 15:11:51 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1% (100.0%), At least 2% (100.0%), At least 5% (1.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 2% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 5% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 6% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 3% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 7% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 8% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 4% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $19K
- Liquidity: $19K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronaldo Caiado in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is Ronaldo Caiado's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
Sources
Related markets
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
- Next French presidential election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.