Arkansas broiler production this year
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:19:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7.6 billion pounds (96.0%), Above 7.8 billion pounds (89.0%), Above 8.0 billion pounds (34.0%). The market has $76K in volume and closes on Fri, 07 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.6 billion pounds | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 7.8 billion pounds | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Above 8.0 billion pounds | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above 8.2 billion pounds | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 8.4 billion pounds | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $76K
- Liquidity: $76K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7.6 billion pounds:
If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 7.6 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 production period runs December 1, 2025 through November 30, 2026, rather than the calendar year. Broiler production includes other domestic meat-type strains. Resolution uses the first published 2026 annual estimate; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
Sources
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