Argentina Presidential Election Winner
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:40:18 UTC, Polymarket traders price Javier Milei (48.5%), Axel Kicillof (31.5%), Sergio Massa (12.0%). The market has $157K in volume and closes on Mon, 25 Oct 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 48.5% | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ |
| Axel Kicillof | 31.5% | 31.5¢ | 68.5¢ |
| Sergio Massa | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Patricia Bullrich | 2.9% | 2.9¢ | 97.1¢ |
| Dante Gebel | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ |
| Myriam Bregman | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.7¢ |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 1.3% | 1.3¢ | 98.7¢ |
| Daniel Hadad | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 98.9¢ |
| Guillermo Moreno | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| Alberto Fernández | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Victoria Villarruel | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Juan Schiaretti | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Mauricio Macri | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Facundo Manes | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $157K
- Liquidity: $1.1M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Sources
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