Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:21:51 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 65% (98.0%), At least 75% (89.0%), At least 70% (86.0%). The market has $60K in volume and closes on Tue, 19 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 65% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 75% | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| At least 77% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| At least 85% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 80% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $60K
- Liquidity: $60K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 65%:
If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 65% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the percentage of valid votes cast for Option 1 (Alberta should remain a province of Canada) on Question 10 of Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum, as reported in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results. Preliminary results do not qualify. Valid votes are votes for either Question 10 option; blank and rejected ballots are excluded. Rounding follows Elections Alberta’s reported convention. If no qualifying results are released by expiration, the market resolves to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.
Sources
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