Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount next year

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 06:43:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $750 (88.0%), Above $1,000 (73.0%), Above $1,250 (50.0%). The market has $57K in volume and closes on Mon, 27 Sep 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $75088.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Above $1,00073.0%73.0¢27.0¢
Above $1,25050.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above $1,50032.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Above $1,75016.0%16.0¢84.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $750:

If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $750, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or similar payment in the reported PFD amount, that amount is included; separately reported payments not included in the official PFD amount are excluded.

Sources

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