Diesel price at year-end 2026

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:30:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $4.20 (99.0%), Above $4.00 (99.0%), Above $4.40 (98.0%). The market has $46K in volume and closes on Thu, 07 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $4.2099.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above $4.0099.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above $4.4098.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above $4.6098.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above $4.8095.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Above $5.0088.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Above $5.2082.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Above $5.4074.0%74.0¢26.0¢
Above $5.6067.0%67.0¢33.0¢
Above $5.8063.0%63.0¢37.0¢
Above $6.0053.0%53.0¢47.0¢
Above $6.2050.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above $6.4034.0%34.0¢66.0¢
Above $6.6028.0%28.0¢72.0¢
Above $6.8027.0%27.0¢73.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $4.20:

If the AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 is above $4.20, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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