Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent
As of Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:38:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 8% (91.0%), At least 6% (51.0%), At least 12% (50.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 15 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 8% | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| At least 6% | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| At least 12% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 3% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 5% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 7% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 4% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 10% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 8%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by SPD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 8% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the Social Democratic Party's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
Sources
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