Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent
As of Fri, 18 Sep 2026 06:31:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 42% (100.0%), At least 35% (50.0%), At least 40% (50.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Thu, 15 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 35% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 42%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by AfD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the Alternative for Germany's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
Sources
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