Next government of the United Kingdom?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:07:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Labour majority (14.0%), Reform UK minority (9.0%), Reform UK majority (9.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Labour majority | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Reform UK minority | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Reform UK majority | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Reform UK minority + Conservative support | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Labour minority | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Reform UK and Conservative coalition | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Labour minority + SNP support | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Labour minority + Green support | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Reform UK minority + DUP support | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Conservative minority + DUP support | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Sources
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