Texas Senate: Exact outcome
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:44:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price Talarico defeats Paxton (61.0%), Paxton defeats Talarico (41.0%). The market has $449K in volume and closes on Mon, 03 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talarico defeats Paxton | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Paxton defeats Talarico | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $449K
- Liquidity: $449K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Talarico defeats Paxton:
If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: GOP Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.
Sources
Related markets
- Maine-Texas Senate Combo
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
- Blue wave this year?
- Closest Senate race this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.