Taiwan Local Elections winner?
As of Wed, 02 Sep 2026 15:05:44 UTC, Kalshi traders price Kuomintang (67.0%), Democratic Progressive Party (34.0%), Taiwan People’s Party (4.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Sun, 28 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kuomintang | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Democratic Progressive Party | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Taiwan People’s Party | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kuomintang | Polymarket | 69.0% | |
| Taiwan People’s Party | Polymarket | 0.1% |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Kuomintang:
If the Kuomintang wins the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Sources
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