2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner — odds by venue
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kuomintang (KMT) | 70% | 68% | 68% on Kalshi |
| Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) | 0.1% | 4% | 0.1% on Polymarket |
Venues
- Polymarket: Volume $75.4K · Liquidity $170.6K · Price time —
- Kalshi: Volume $10.7K · Liquidity $10.7K · Price time —
Resolution rules
Polymarket
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following…
Kalshi
If the Kuomintang wins the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.