How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space this year?
As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 13:09:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.0 (50.0%), 4.0 (40.0%), 3.0 (6.0%). The market has $68K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 4.0 | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| 3.0 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 1 or below | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 2.0 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 6.0 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 8.0 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 9.0 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 10 or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 7.0 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $68K
- Liquidity: $68K
- Closes:
Sources
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DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.