What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear this year?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:28:44 UTC, Kalshi traders price Roybal v. Griffith (60.0%), U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court (36.0%), Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice (29.0%). The market has $60K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roybal v. Griffith | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Republican National Committee v. Eakin | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Duncan v. Bonta | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $60K
- Liquidity: $60K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Roybal v. Griffith:
If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Roybal v. Griffith before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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