Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?

As of Thu, 30 Jul 2026 16:42:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (14.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Aug 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes14.0%14.0¢86.0¢

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