Poland general election winner?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price Civic Coalition (50.0%), Law and Justice (48.0%), Confederation (5.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Thu, 11 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Civic Coalition | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Law and Justice | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Confederation | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| The Left | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Third Way | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Civic Coalition:
If the winner of the next Polish general election is Civic Coalition, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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