Open source token share Oct 26–Nov 1 (OpenRouter)

As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 12:55:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 69.2% (51.0%), Above 72.3% (51.0%), Above 71.8% (51.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 09 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 69.2%51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Above 72.3%51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Above 71.8%51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Above 71.3%51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Above 70.7%51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Above 75.3%50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above 73.9%47.0%47.0¢53.0¢
Above 73.2%44.0%44.0¢56.0¢
Above 72.7%12.0%12.0¢88.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 69.2%:

If Open-weight models scores above 69.2% on OpenRouter Open / Closed weekly token-share chart week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the percentage of tokens processed by open-weight models in OpenRouter’s Open / Closed chart for the week of Oct 26, 2026. The value is the updated percentage reported at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday following that week, rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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