Measles cases this year?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 02:37:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 5000 (99.0%), Above 6000 (93.0%), Above 7000 (71.0%). The market has $1.5M in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5000 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 6000 | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Above 7000 | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Above 8000 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Above 9000 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above 10000 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.5M
- Liquidity: $1.5M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 5000:
If the number of measles in 2026 is above 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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