Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

As of Fri, 18 Sep 2026 00:30:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (32.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2050.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes32.0%32.0¢68.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

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