How many Republican senators will lose reelection this year?
As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 22:45:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5 or more (55.0%), Exactly 4 (19.0%), Exactly 3 (9.0%). The market has $75K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 or more | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Exactly 4 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Exactly 3 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Exactly 2 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $75K
- Liquidity: $75K
- Closes:
Sources
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