Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Alibaba (48.0%), Xiaomi (26.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alibaba | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Xiaomi | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Alibaba:
If Alibaba's top model has a higher Arena Score than Xiaomi's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Each company's top model is its highest-ranked model in the Overall category of the leaderboard, with style control removed (Adjustments: None). A model belongs to the company the leaderboard lists as its organization. Preliminary models count. If the two top models show the same Arena Score, the one ranked higher on the leaderboard wins.
Sources
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