Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2030 (68.0%), Before 2029 (61.0%), Before 2028 (40.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before 203068.0%68.0¢32.0¢
Before 202961.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Before 202840.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Before 20273.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Sources

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