Will Greenland vote for independence this year?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 10:03:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (1.0%). The market has $63K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Polymarket | 1.1% |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $63K
- Liquidity: $63K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes. A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.
Sources
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