Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:25:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Jean-Luc Mélenchon (36.0%), Édouard Philippe (23.0%), Raphaël Glucksmann (11.0%). The market has $25K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Gabriel Attal | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| David Lisnard | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Marine Le Pen | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| François Hollande | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| François Ruffin | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Xavier Bertrand | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Marine Tondelier | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Bruno Retailleau | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $25K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Sources
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