Fed funds rate at end of 2027
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1.75% (99.0%), Above 1.25% (97.0%), Above 1.00% (95.0%). The market has $123K in volume and closes on Sat, 08 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.75% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 1.25% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 1.00% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 2.50% | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Above 2.00% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 2.75% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 3.00% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 3.25% | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 3.50% | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 4.00% | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 3.75% | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Above 4.25% | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Above 2.25% | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Above 1.50% | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Above 4.50% | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $123K
- Liquidity: $123K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1.75%:
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.75%, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.
Sources
Related markets
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- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
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- Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
- Fed funds rate after October meeting?
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