Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Beth Hammack (80.0%), Lorie Logan (48.0%), Neel Kashkari (37.0%). The market has $26K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beth Hammack | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Lorie Logan | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Neel Kashkari | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Michelle Bowman | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Anna Paulson | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Christopher Waller | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Michael Barr | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Kevin Warsh | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| John Williams | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Lisa Cook | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Philip Jefferson | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Jerome Powell | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $26K
- Liquidity: $26K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Beth Hammack:
If Beth Hammack formally dissented at the October 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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