Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:57:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Montana US Senate (82.0%), New Jersey US Senate (17.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 10 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana US Senate | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| New Jersey US Senate | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Montana US Senate:
If Montana US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Montana US Senate and New Jersey US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.
Sources
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