Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:27:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Michigan US Senate (98.0%), New Hampshire US Senate (2.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Tue, 10 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan US Senate | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| New Hampshire US Senate | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $17K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Michigan US Senate:
If Michigan US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.
Sources
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